Junes When Jan Is Down

Commentary

Since 1950, June is 32-32 for an average loss of 0.04%, making it one of only two calendar months, along with September, with as many losses as wins over that time frame. To make matters worse, from a seasonal perspective, recall that 2014 began the year with a 3.56% loss in January. In those, post 1950, years in which January was negative, June is 8-16 for an average/median loss of 1.45/0.96%. The 5% June moves, noted in red below, are 0-6 to the negative side after a negative January.

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